Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://repositorio.unifesp.br/handle/11600/37697
Title: Risk of symptomatic dengue for foreign visitors to the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil
Authors: Massad, Eduardo
Wilder-Smith, Annelies
Ximenes, Raphael
Amaku, Marcos
Lopez, Luis Fernandez
Bezerra Coutinho, Francisco Antonio
Coelho, Giovanini Evelim
Silva, Jarbas Barbosa da
Struchiner, Claudio Jose
Burattini, Marcelo Nascimento [UNIFESP]
Universidade de São Paulo (USP)
London Sch Hyg & Trop Med
Nanyang Univ
Florida Int Univ
Minist Saude
Fiocruz MS
Universidade Federal de São Paulo (UNIFESP)
Keywords: dengue
risk
foreign travellers
probabilistic
modelling
World Cup
Issue Date: 1-May-2014
Publisher: Fundaco Oswaldo Cruz
Citation: Memorias Do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz. Rio de Janeiro, Rj: Fundaco Oswaldo Cruz, v. 109, n. 3, p. 394-+, 2014.
Abstract: Brazil will host the FIFA World Cup T, the biggest single-event competition in the world, from June 12-July 13 2014 in 12 cities. This event will draw an estimated 600,000 international visitors. Brazil is endemic for dengue. Hence, attendees of the 2014 event are theoretically at risk for dengue. We calculated the risk of dengue acquisition to non-immune international travellers to Brazil, depending on the football match schedules, considering locations and dates of such matches for June and July 2014. We estimated the average per-capita risk and expected number of dengue cases for each host-city and each game schedule chosen based on reported dengue cases to the Brazilian Ministry of Health for the period between 2010-2013. On the average, the expected number of cases among the 600,000 foreigner tourists during the World Cup is 33, varying from 3-59. Such risk estimates will not only benefit individual travellers for adequate pre-travel preparations, but also provide valuable information for public health professionals and policy makers worldwide. Furthermore, estimates of dengue cases in international travellers during the World Cup can help to anticipate the theoretical risk for exportation of dengue into currently non-infected areas.
URI: http://repositorio.unifesp.br/handle/11600/37697
ISSN: 0074-0276
Other Identifiers: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/0074-0276140133
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